Postby FISHMANPET » August 21st, 2013, 1:50 pm
All these estimates are based on models, and I think when it comes down to it, a lot of people disagree with the models.I'm sure that when 28,850 passengers per day per for 3C was calculated, that it was done perfectly. But if the model is bad, the result will be mad. If there's disputes over expected ridership then it's a bad model.
Our model for Hiawatha was bad, which is why we keep smashing ridership predictions. Now that we know the Twin City's rail bias the models should be better, but we'll see how quickly Central exceeds expectations.
But when it comes down to it, if you don't like the ridership numbers the study produced, then you don't like the model they used.
Cost is a whole other thing, but I don't think anybody here is making cost based arguments directly, rather they're being made as a response to something else.