urbanMSP

My precinct 11-4 had maybe 2 or 3 people outwardly supporting Quincy, 5 or 6 with Mauter stickers, and 12-14 with Schroeder swag.

It will be an interesting ward convention. I like both Erica and Jeremy but my question is whether either can actually beat an incumbent with establishment support and how much weight to put on diversity.

It sounds like Schiff had a pretty bad night, and had Farah a pretty good one.

Wards 1 and 11 are pretty interesting. Both have two good challengers, running against boring but mostly reliable incumbents. I don't think Quincy or Reich are necessarily bad councilmembers, but neither stand out as especially good ones either. They both have black marks from the bike crowd for various votes they've taken, especially 3rd Avenue downtown. In the current political climate, it seems that being an incumbent who is slightly to the center of their challenger(s) is a tough position to argue from, even if you've mostly done a good job for your constituents. For a challenger to walk away with the endorsement (let's say Pessenda in 1 and Schroeder in 11, for the sake of argument) the other challengers (Zach Welfel in 1 and Erica Mauter in 11) are going to have to pull a selfless move (a la Kendal Killian in 2013) and endorse the other challenger. That looks to be the only way an endorsement will happen in any of these wards with multiple challengers.

Ward 7 DFL convention ends with no endorsement.
https://twitter.com/janneformpls/status ... 9003110401

Ward 4 also did not endorse, and the Ward 5 endorsement went to Jeremiah Ellison. Big day for progressives.

http://www.startribune.com/minneapolis- ... 420160933/

Huge.

Zach Wefel is ending his campaign for Ward 1 CM. Not a surprise after the convention results, but a shame nonetheless since he seems to be the only YIMBY candidate from that ward.

Any word if Erica Mauter is ending her campaign in 11? She didn't have as poor a showing as Wefel, but came in third at the convention last weekend. There's not a clear path to victory for her. Would Jeremy Schroeder have gotten the nomination if she had pulled a Kendal Killian and endorsed? It's the right move if you're true concern is unseating the incumbent (not getting yourself elected).

Sounds like she wants to be in it for the long haul. I know Mauter was disqualified after the second round because she didn't meet the viability threshold (20% after the second ballot). I don't think they held a 3rd ballot though, to see what her delegates would have done, because she wanted no endorsement rather than a not-quincy endorsement.

Kind of disappointing, because I think I might prefer her over Schroeder, but I'm more interested in not-quincy than I am Erica specifically. We'll see what the future holds.

She's not ending her campaign, which is fine by me.

After the second ballot (but before results were announced, suspiciously) her people and Quincy's people moved to suspend rules allowing for adjourning without endorsement. That motion failed rather significantly due to the large camps of people who thought "that's what we're here for, right?" and the group of Schroeder supporters who wanted to see how things would shake out with a third ballot. There had also been some questions about delegate count vs ballot count, resulting in re-credentialing everyone (writing down names in each precinct section) after the second ballot. After it was clear that there was nothing nearly as fishy as some had originally suspected and the second ballot results were trustworthy, then Mauter was dropped with 15.3% (20% threshold to continue to the third ballot).

On the third ballot, Mauter led her people to vote No Endorsement. Schroeder got 47.5%, Quincy got 43.5%, and No Endorsement got 9%. After this, it was clear to most people that Jeremy wasn't going to get 60% for endorsement even if you added in the Mauter/No Endorsement crowd, so the vast majority of people were okay proceeding to suspend rules and adjourn without endorsement.

I was actually surprised by a number of people who were Mauter supporters but who did not necessarily support Schroeder over Quincy. It made no sense to me - I figured we have people who prefer Mauter or Schroeder first at this point, but virtually all would support the other over Quincy. I don't think this will be a huge factor in November, but it was still a surprise.

I see Quincy's path to victory as extremely difficult right now, but honestly he could very well end up getting the conservative vote in Ward 11 if there aren't any semi-serious non-DFL candidates who enter the race. That said, I wonder if Mauter or Schroeder will win based on Quincy voters' second choice on the ballot.

I see Quincy's path to victory as extremely difficult right now, but honestly he could very well end up getting the conservative vote in Ward 11 if there aren't any semi-serious non-DFL candidates who enter the race. That said, I wonder if Mauter or Schroeder will win based on Quincy voters' second choice on the ballot.

If by conservative, you mean slightly left of moderate DFLers, then yes.

Caucuses aren't at all representative of the voters at large, of course.

Kind of disappointing, because I think I might prefer her over Schroeder, but I'm more interested in not-quincy than I am Erica specifically. We'll see what the future holds.

I'm most interested in non-Quincy, and I like them both. Typically, I'd say a more-or-less tie on substance would lead me to pick the candidate that provides some diversity. Which is why I'm okay with her staying in the race (as we have ranked choice voting) even though I voted for Schroeder at the convention. I just think that so far Schroeder seems like he has a better chance to win (and definitely had more people at the convention).

I do think she could have tipped the endorsement to Jeremy had she asked her people to do that, although it might still have been a stretch to get to 60%. That would have eliminated Quincy, but I can see why she'd prefer no endorsement (btw, she's said she reads streets.mn, but I don't know if she get into these forums). ETA: And would have required some Quincy attrition.

I see Quincy's path to victory as extremely difficult right now

An incumbent who can't break 50% at his party's convention would seem like he's in trouble. But then he's the incumbent and may do better among less engaged voters.

Will Jaeger is really stumbling through his pitch speech to W12. Incredibly embarrassing for him. The room was very kind in applauding him applauding him off stage. This dude has no idea what he's doing. I'm not sure if he has a single supporter here.

EDIT: Andrew Johnson was endorsed on the first ballot. 198-1. Ouch.

Anyone have vote tallies for the Ward 3 convention?

Wedgelive reporting 161-109-7.

Ward 3 - Fletcher wins DFL endorsement in race to replace Jacob Frey on Minneapolis City Council
https://www.minnpost.com/politics-polic ... city-counc

Fletcher at one point suggested that any developer seeking a variance would need to show how they were helping add affordable housing in the city.

K

At the Ward 2 convention there was no endorsement. I don't think that got mentioned here yet.